Source:White Flag With Joe Walsh talking about MAGA n da House. Ight!!! |
"All the experts say the vast majority of House Republicans are cynical and they don't believe all this MAGA/Trump bullshit. The experts are wrong. The percentage of MAGA/Trumpy true believers in the House is way more than you think and it's growing."
I was trying to search to see how many members there are in the House Freedom Caucus in the 118th Congress. The only number that I saw was from a January, 2023 Pew Research Center report saying that they had 49 members. That seems very low in a House Republican Conference that has 217 members out of 435 total House seats and 431 U.S. Representatives.
By the way, call the House MAGA Caucus (which is what the House Freedom Caucus actually is) the House Freedom Caucus, would be like calling Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders a Libertarian. I mean, are you trying to become a comedian or something? But they're free to call themselves whatever they want. They can even call themselves Republicans, even though they don't actually believe in the concept of a republic, certainly not the American Federal Republic.
My best guess is that MAGA has 90-110 seats in the House of Representatives right now. And even if House Republicans lose the House in 2024, (which I predict they will) they'll still have around 90-110 in the next Congress as well, because you'll see a lot of center-right, real Republicans (who are actually called RINOS) lose in New York State in California, who currently represent House districts that Joe Biden won in 2020 and is still leading in.
So the next House Republican Conference could be even crazier. Can't wait for CPAC (Crazy People At a Convention) 2025 next year. That will definitely be a show. Maybe Ted Nugent will perform at the MAGA nuthouse next year.
I disagree with Joe Walsh on only one key point here. I don't thing MAGA is the Republican Party right now. More like half of it. I think we were seeing with Donald Trump's share of the Republican primary vote and are still seeing that now Nikki Haley still getting around 15-20% of the Republican vote in primaries where she's no longer getting even running for President.
You have maybe 1/2 Republicans now who are Donald Trump MAGA loyalists and maybe 3/10 Republicans who don't want to vote for him, but might do it anyway, because they don't want Democrats to have complete control of the Congress and The White House next year. But they might vote for Joe Biden because they see Donald Trump as a threat to the American Republic and Constitution.
As far as who is MAGA and who are the Republicans who simply want to save their political careers?
Those hard-core MAGA Caucus members in the House are definitely MAGA. So the Marjorie T. Greene's, the Laure Boebert's, the Jim Jordan's, the James Emmer's, the Paul Goesar's, and a lot of other far-right, whacked-out, high as a skyscraper, U.S. Representatives. But then there are people like House Republican Conference Chairman Elise Stefanik, who was one of the original Never-Trumper's in the House in 2015-2016. But then got on board the MAGA train when Donald Trump lost reelection in 2020, to save her political career.
You go over to the upper chamber of Congress and see people like Senator J.D. Vance who wrote a very anti-Donald Trump book in 2017, but them Trump loses reelection in 2020, Ohio Senator Rob Portman decides not to run for reelection in 2022 and sees his opportunity to win a U.S. Senate seat by walking on his hands and knees and begging Donald Trump so he can could kiss DJT's feet every time he's out in public. And then you have people who want Donald Trump to select him as his Vice President, people like Senator Tim Scott, who at least before the 2024 election cycle, was a pragmatic, center-right Republican in Congress. Not a MAGA firebrand.
I think the modern Republican Party now consists of MAGA, who are far-right, nationalistic, cultural warriors. And then you have lets fake MAGA, people who are basically center-right Republicans, who want to keep their careers, so they sort of pretend to be MAGA. People like Senator Lindsay Graham.
And then you have what's left of the center-right, Conservative Republicans, people like those vulnerable House Republicans who could definitely lose their Congressional carers, because they probably represent too many Joe Biden voters. People like Representative Mike Lawler and a few other Conservative Republicans in New York.
I mean this is where I disagree with Joe Walsh here. MAGA is a big enough threat to ruin the American Republic and our liberal democracy. But only if we let them do that by not voting for Democrats in 2024. But they're not the entire Republican Party.
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