Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Michael Smerconish: Mike Murphy: 'Everyone Needs To Quit The Race But One'

Source:Michael Smerconish interviewing longtime Republican political consultant and pundit Michael Murphy. A chance to like Mike, or like the Mike's right here.

"Michael Interviews famed conservative political media consultant Mike Murphy who says everyone should quit except Nikki Haley." 


I agree that if Mike Murphy that if we ever got into a one-on-one matchup between President Joe Biden and former Ambassador Nikki Haley, Nikki Haley has the best shot at beating the President. I don't she automatically beats him, because the Democratic Party still looks determined defend American democracy, the Constitution, rule of law, and now abortion rights, etc. And that alone will get then to turn out and vote for President, to protect their democratic values. 

Also, between Joe Biden and Nikki Haley, would Trump voters turn out and vote for her? They tend not to turn out and vote in big numbers, when they're cult leader (sometimes you have to be frank) isn't on the ballot. And would they vote for someone whose not just a woman, but a Never-Trumper, whose also not from their race, ethnicity, generation, culture, etc? 

And if she goes out-of-her-way for their vote and just tries to appeal to those voters, would that turn Independents off for her and also turn out more Democrats against her? 

Also, the Democratic Party is still bigger than the Republican Party, so in a heavy turnout election, especially on the Democratic side and in a one-one-one election between the Republican and Democrat, the Democrat wins. Unless the Republican wins the Independent votes solidly, which is one way that George W. Bush beat Al Gore in 2000. But that's assuming the Trump voters bother to vote for anyone other than Donald John Trump. When The Donald is not on the ballot, Trump voters tend not to turn out and vote in big numbers. We saw that in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, last year, etc.

In a perfect world and in a normal Republican Party, (and if we had that today, poverty would also be wiped out and Israel and Palestine would also be best friends) with someone like Donald Trump running for President in the Republican Party, with base and ability to raise money for himself as Donald Trump has, with him already being President and now being the big loser that he's been for himself, as well as the Republican Party, since he became President in 2017, the number one goal of the Republican Party would simply be to defeat the former President. 

In a normal Republican Party, you wouldn't have 7-10 establishment, center-right Republicans running for President right now. You would have 3, at most 5, with half of those folks already packing it in and endorsing someone not named Donald Trump for President right now.  

I think the best case scenario for anyone whose still a Republican today and still cares about the Republican Party, perhaps the best case scenario for any American who still believes in American democracy and the two-party system, is that by December or January, there at best only 3 Republicans left to challenge Donald Trump, that everyone else is out before Iowa. 

But as unpopular as Governor Ron DeSantis is because of his unique talent to piss off practically everyone he ever talks too, he's still raising a lot of money. And as long as he's doing that, he's going to stay in the race, because the future of the Republican Party or even the American republic is not what he cares about. He's only interested in being President of the United States and he thinks 2024 is his best shot at doing that.

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  1. You can also see this post on WordPress:https://thenewdemocrat1975.com/2023/10/31/michael-smerconish-mike-murphy-everyone-needs-to-quit-the-race-but-one/

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John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat

John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat
Source: U.S. Senator John F. Kennedy in 1960