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Tuesday, May 13, 2025

Jake Tapper & Alex Thompson: How Joe Biden Handed the Presidency to Donald Trump

"At a fateful event last summer, Barack Obama, George Clooney, and others were stunned by Biden’s weakness and confusion. Why did he and his advisers decide to conceal his condition from the public and campaign for reëlection?

President Joe Biden got out of bed the day after the 2024 election convinced that he had been wronged. The élites, the Democratic officials, the media, Nancy Pelosi, Barack Obama—they shouldn’t have pushed him out of the race. If he had stayed in, he would have beaten Donald Trump. That’s what the polls suggested, he would say again and again...

Source:The New Yorker with a look at Jake Tapper's & Alex Thompson's book about President Biden.

If you are a paid subscriber to The New Yorker, you can see the rest of this article at The New Yorker

From Penguin Random House: 

"In Greek tragedy, the protagonist’s effort to avoid his fate is what seals his fate. In 2024, American politics became a Greek tragedy.

Joe Biden launched his successful 2020 bid for the White House with the stated goal of saving the nation from a second Trump presidential term. He, his family, and his senior aides were so convinced that only he could beat Trump again, they lied to themselves, allies, and the public about his condition and limitations. At his debate with Trump on June 27, 2024, the consequences of that deception were exposed to the world. It was shocking and upsetting.

Now the full, unsettling truth is being told for the first time. Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson take us behind closed doors and into private conversations between the heaviest of hitters, revealing how big the problem was and how many people knew about it. From White House staffers at the highest to lowest levels, to leaders of Congress and the Cabinet, from governors to donors and Hollywood players, the truth is finally being told. What you will learn makes President Biden’s decision to run for reelection seem shockingly narcissistic, self-delusional, and reckless—a desperate bet that went bust—and part of a larger act of extended public deception that has few precedents. The story the authors tell raises fundamental issues of accountability and responsibility that will continue for decades.

The irony is biting: In the name of defeating what they called an existential threat to democracy, Biden and his inner circle ensured it, tossing aside his implicit promise to serve for only one term, denying the existence of health issues the nation had been watching for years, dooming the Democrats to defeat. The decision to run again, the Original Sin of this president, led to a campaign of denial and gaslighting, leading directly to Donald Trump's return to power and all that has happened as a consequence. Rarely does hubris meet nemesis more explosively. Wherever you stand on the political spectrum, Original Sin is essential reading... 


From The Guardian: 

"A press release by Penguin Random House says Biden, “his family, and his senior aides were so convinced that only he could beat Trump again, they lied to themselves, allies, and the public about his condition and limitations.

white man wearing navy suit and light blue shirt sitting on a light yellow chair looks up with his hand raised
Biden’s health and threat of a second Trump term loom over Nato summit
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“What you will learn makes President Biden’s decision to run for re-election seem shockingly narcissistic, self-delusional, and reckless – a desperate bet that went bust – and part of a larger act of extended public deception that has few precedents,” it goes on to say.

Tapper served as a moderator for the infamous presidential debate in June 2024 hosted by CNN in which Biden’s poor performance essentially ended his campaign. After intense scrutiny on his mental acuity and age, Biden announced his decision to drop out of the presidential race and endorse Harris a few weeks later.

“Toni Morrison once said, ‘If there’s a book that you want to read, but it hasn’t been written yet, then you must write it,’” Tapper said in a statement to CNN Business. “That’s what inspired this book: we wanted to know more about what we all just lived through. More than 200 interviews later, Alex and I have a much better idea. And soon you all will too.”


From Chris Cillizza: 

"In this video, Chris Cillizza reacts to revelations from the upcoming book "Original Sin" by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson, which claims that senior White House aides deliberately shielded President Joe Biden from even his own staff starting in 2023 due to concerns about his mental and physical decline. Cillizza highlights a striking quote from a former aide who quit over Biden's decision to run again, calling it a "disservice" to the country.

Cillizza argues this goes beyond political strategy—it was a cover-up that withheld critical information from the public, media, and even parts of the administration. While acknowledging that Biden is no longer president, Cillizza insists the lack of transparency is damaging to American democracy, and draws a parallel with Donald Trump’s limited disclosure of his medical records. He calls for accountability from Democratic leaders and stresses the need for honesty from public officials, regardless of party." 

Source:Chris Cillizza talking about Jake Tapper's & Alex Thompson's book about President Biden.

From Chris Cillizza

From what I wrote about this story back in December: 

"Remember then citizen Joe Biden promising not to run for President in 2020: 

"Former Vice President Joe Biden’s top advisers and prominent Democrats outside the Biden campaign have recently revived a long-running debate whether Biden should publicly pledge to serve only one term, with Biden himself signaling to aides that he would serve only a single term.

While the option of making a public pledge remains available, Biden has for now settled on an alternative strategy: quietly indicating that he will almost certainly not run for a second term while declining to make a promise that he and his advisers fear could turn him into a lame duck and sap him of his political capital.

According to four people who regularly talk to Biden, all of whom asked for anonymity to discuss internal campaign matters, it is virtually inconceivable that he will run for reelection in 2024, when he would be the first octogenarian president.

“If Biden is elected,” a prominent adviser to the campaign said, “he’s going to be 82 years old in four years and he won’t be running for reelection.” 

Even by October, 2023, it would've been too late for President Biden to drop out. But it would've been better than dropping out 6 months ago:

"Bill Maher called on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential election, saying the 80-year-old incumbent is too old to run for president and likened him to the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

The host of “Real Time with Bill Maher” mocked Biden on Friday night, describing the president as the “only democrat who can lose to Trump,” despite the men only having a four-year age difference.

“Someone has to convince President Biden that if he runs again, he’s going to turn the country back over to Trump and go… down in history as Ruth Bader Biden, the person who doesn’t know when to quit and so does great damage to their party and their country,” Maher said, referring to the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Ginsburg notoriously decided to not retire during the Obama administration when she could have been replaced with a liberal justice, only to die at the age of 87 in September 2020 during the Trump administration." 

I don't agree with comedian Bill Maher on everything. But when he's right, he's damn right. (You put that stronger) And he called it in October, 2023: 

"The issue with President Biden isn’t if he will be replaced - it's who will replace him." 

To put it simply: if President Biden announced let's say by April, 2023, that he promised not to run for reelection in 3-1/2 years a go to assure voters that he would pass the torch (so to speak) and because it was time "for a new generation of leadership", the Democratic Party would've had a full primary season and Vice President Kamala Harris probably wins the nomination anyway. And she would've been my preferred candidate right out of the gate. And all those townhalls, those debates, those TV interviews, that she didn't want to do this summer and to a certain extent this fall, all those things would've been taken care of during late 2023 and early 2024. 

And it's not just that President Biden broke his promise not to run for reelection. It's why he did that is even worst, his lack of reasoning for it. He made it about the economy and that he was the only person up to task of bringing down the high cost of living. When the fact is he knew damn well that his background as a public servant is not economics. He made his carer in Congress as a foreign policy and national security expert. As well as criminal justice and the Constitution. Not economic policy... 


From what Ederik Schneider wrote about this in April: 

"But as Erik Schneider said, had President Biden simply kept his promise to to a one-term President and announced like in April of 2023, that he wasn't running for reelection, he might not have been an issue in 2024, at all. Because whoever the new Democratic nominee would be, that person would have had about a year or so to introduce themself to the country and lay out exactly what they want to do as President and not have to worry about what the President thinks of their agenda. And Vice President Harris might have won the nomination anyway. 

We'll never know this because the people around the President, who knew he was struggling mentally and had low energy, didn't have the courage, the character, to either tell the President that he shouldn't run for reelection and why, or at the least leak what they know about his physical and mental conditions, or resign and go public with what they know about him. 

You think Democratic donors would've been backing the President the way they did, financially, up until his debate, if they knew he was struggling to remember names of people he knew very well, struggling just to get through his work schedule, physically, getting stuck in-between thoughts when trying to speak? Of course not. If they knew this 2 years ago, if the public knew as well, the Democratic leadership, even, would've called for the President not to run for reelection... 


And from what I wrote about this last Thursday: 

"So I give President Biden credit for at least acknowledging that he's somewhat responsible for the American nightmare (also known as President Donald Trump) returning to The White House as President again. Rare, if ever, that you even hear a former politician take any responsibility for anything that goes wrong on his or her watch, especially when they're an executive. It's like seeing people jumping out of air conditioners, flying rattlesnakes with wings... you almost feel like you have to be high on meth to see any of those things. Especially even a former politician take any responsibility for anything bad happening on their watch, especially an executive. So I give President Biden credit for that. 

But the problem here is (and you can rewatch the interview with The View) it's what he's taken responsibility for. He's taking credit for doing all these things like the infrastructure, the research and development, the prescription drugs, the jobs and economic growth, etc. But the only problem was (according to President Biden) that these benefits come later before Americans can feel them and his administration (perhaps including the President) didn't do a good enough job of selling the benefits of what they were doing. 

So on 1 hand President Biden is taking responsibility for the fact that he was too unpopular to even run for reelection, but then he's sort of qualifying that concession by saying it's the voters fault for not seeing the benefits if what he and his administration were doing. But that's more than Donald Trump would give you when he screws up, or any other crooked politician... 


Just to throw something else in (in case there's an inch of space left in this post's trunk): So about 1/2 hour ago, maybe an hour (I wasn't looking at a watch or a clock when I saw this) MSNBC anchor Katy Tur was interviewing Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. Back in the summer of 24, Leader Schumer was still the Senate Majority Leader. And she pulled a quote from Jake Tapper's and Alex Thompson's book about Leader Schumer trying to convince President Biden to drop out of the presidential race, back in July. And apparently Leader Schumer told the President: 

"If you stay in this race, you'll not only lose, but you'll throw away the work that you've done and everything that you accomplished the last six years". And apparently the President, who is 1 of the quickest-witted, and most frank American politicians that we've ever had (at least before he became President) responded to Schumer by saying: 

"You have the biggest pair of balls that I've ever seen". She used the word "kahunas", but the point was made. And Katy Tur asked the Minority Leader, what he thought about that. 

You don't serve 44 years in Congress, the last 8 as Senate Democratic Leader and 10 years before that as chief political strategist, and Senate Campaign Committee Chairman, for the Senate Democrats, if you don't have "skillz". (To use a hip hop expression from the 1990s) 

Leader Schumer responded to Katy Tur's question by saying: 

"We're about to see the largest cuts to Medicaid in the history of this program in this Congress. Right now I'm focused on defeating that bill. I'm focused on the future, not the past." The old artful political dodge. There was a bell going off in the lobby on Capitol Hill, that's right between the House and Senate chambers and Katy Tur said something like: "I'm now out of time and you are saved by the bell". That's a paraphrase, but very close. 

So I get why the Democratic Leadership doesn't want to talk about this. It's not just the House that they'll probably take back next year and could do that with a pickup of at least 20 seats, but thanks to MAGA and President Trump, Chuck Schumer might be the Senate Majority Leader again in less than 2 years. But people who aren't in the Democratic Leadership, who are in the blogosphere, we can talk about this Joe Biden story all we want. Which is what I'm going to do today. 

I partially agree with Chris Cilliza here. Joe Biden was the President and he should've been able to see the writing on the wall (so to speak( about his campaign and all the mental lapses and that his energy wasn't as good in 2023, even as it was in 2021 when he just became President. But isn't that the point: he wasn't able to see those things. 

The whole point of The White House staff, is look out for the best interest of the President. And trying to protect the President from himself, is not looking out for his best interest. I hate to break it to anyone who is new to Washington, but not every thing here is political. There are actually times when the people around the boss, actually have to think about something other than their boss's political future and what his or her political goals are for the future. I made this point about President Biden last December: 

"The reason why President Biden tried to run for reelection, is the same reason why any other President who ran for reelection did that, because he wanted to be a two-term President. It's almost embarrassing for President's to not get the 2nd term. And probably feels worst when you don't bother to run. Worst than that when you own damn party doesn't want you to run for reelection... 

And the reason why politicians have staffs, is not to tell them how great they are and great they're doing. They should do that when things are going well for the boss. But to paraphrase author Chris Whipple: the staff is there to serve as the gatekeeper for their boss. That's why we have a White House Chief of Staff, that's why we have a Vice President, that's why the President has a team of political advisors. They're not just there to tell their boss how "awesome" they are, but to also break bad news for them and tell them not just when things aren't "awesome", but to tell them when they're reached the end of the road, politically, and when it's time to pass the torch. (To put a couple of cliches together) 

And the President's Chief of Staff Ron Klain and his own Vice President Kamala Harris, even though they both saw and talked to President Biden everyday, as well as the rest of his political team, didn't do that. His family and political team didn't have that intervention (if I can use that word) with the President telling him to step down the from presidential race, until 2 weeks after the disastrous debate in June. Too late by then. You don't wait until you boss basically collapses on national TV, before you try to save him, especially after being so close to him and seeing what everyone else got to see, 6 months, maybe a year before the June, 24 debate. 

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Thursday, May 8, 2025

President Joe Biden Takes Responsibility For Donald Trump's Reelection

"Former Pres. Biden Says He 'Takes Responsibility' For Pres. Trump's Reelection: 'I Was In Charge'" 

Source:The View talking to former President Joseph R. Biden (Democrat, Delaware) 46th President of the United States.

From The View

"Former president Joe Biden sat down for his first TV interview since leaving office on “The View” Thursday morning, and when asked if he takes any responsibility for Donald Trump’s reelection, he offered a direct answer: yes.

“Yes, I do,” he said. “Because, look, I was in charge and he won. So, you know, I take responsibility.”


From what I wrote about this back in December: 

"Remember then citizen Joe Biden promising not to run for President in 2020: 

"Former Vice President Joe Biden’s top advisers and prominent Democrats outside the Biden campaign have recently revived a long-running debate whether Biden should publicly pledge to serve only one term, with Biden himself signaling to aides that he would serve only a single term.

While the option of making a public pledge remains available, Biden has for now settled on an alternative strategy: quietly indicating that he will almost certainly not run for a second term while declining to make a promise that he and his advisers fear could turn him into a lame duck and sap him of his political capital.

According to four people who regularly talk to Biden, all of whom asked for anonymity to discuss internal campaign matters, it is virtually inconceivable that he will run for reelection in 2024, when he would be the first octogenarian president.


“If Biden is elected,” a prominent adviser to the campaign said, “he’s going to be 82 years old in four years and he won’t be running for reelection.” 

Even by October, 2023, it would've been too late for President Biden to drop out. But it would've been better than dropping out 6 months ago:

"Bill Maher called on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential election, saying the 80-year-old incumbent is too old to run for president and likened him to the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

The host of “Real Time with Bill Maher” mocked Biden on Friday night, describing the president as the “only democrat who can lose to Trump,” despite the men only having a four-year age difference.

“Someone has to convince President Biden that if he runs again, he’s going to turn the country back over to Trump and go… down in history as Ruth Bader Biden, the person who doesn’t know when to quit and so does great damage to their party and their country,” Maher said, referring to the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Ginsburg notoriously decided to not retire during the Obama administration when she could have been replaced with a liberal justice, only to die at the age of 87 in September 2020 during the Trump administration." 

I don't agree with comedian Bill Maher on everything. But when he's right, he's damn right. (You put that stronger) And he called it in October, 2023: 

"The issue with President Biden isn’t if he will be replaced - it's who will replace him." 

To put it simply: if President Biden announced let's say by April, 2023, that he promised not to run for reelection in 3-1/2 years a go to assure voters that he would pass the torch (so to speak) and because it was time "for a new generation of leadership", the Democratic Party would've had a full primary season and Vice President Kamala Harris probably wins the nomination anyway. And she would've been my preferred candidate right out of the gate. And all those townhalls, those debates, those TV interviews, that she didn't want to do this summer and to a certain extent this fall, all those things would've been taken care of during late 2023 and early 2024. 

And it's not just that President Biden broke his promise not to run for reelection. It's why he did that is even worst, his lack of reasoning for it. He made it about the economy and that he was the only person up to task of bringing down the high cost of living. When the fact is he knew damn well that his background as a public servant is not economics. He made his carer in Congress as a foreign policy and national security expert. As well as criminal justice and the Constitution. Not economic policy... 


From what Ederik Schneider wrote about this in April: 

"But as Erik Schneider said, had President Biden simply kept his promise to to a one-term President and announced like in April of 2023, that he wasn't running for reelection, he might not have been an issue in 2024, at all. Because whoever the new Democratic nominee would be, that person would have had about a year or so to introduce themself to the country and lay out exactly what they want to do as President and not have to worry about what the President thinks of their agenda. And Vice President Harris might have won the nomination anyway. 

We'll never know this because the people around the President, who knew he was struggling mentally and had low energy, didn't have the courage, the character, to either tell the President that he shouldn't run for reelection and why, or at the least leak what they know about his physical and mental conditions, or resign and go public with what they know about him. 

You think Democratic donors would've been backing the President the way they did, financially, up until his debate, if they knew he was struggling to remember names of people he knew very well, struggling just to get through his work schedule, physically, getting stuck in-between thoughts when trying to speak? Of course not. If they knew this 2 years ago, if the public knew as well, the Democratic leadership, even, would've called for the President not to run for reelection... 


So I give President Biden credit for at least acknowledging that he's somewhat responsible for the American nightmare (also known as President Donald Trump) returning to The White House as President again. Rare, if ever, that you even hear a former politician take any responsibility for anything that goes wrong on his or her watch, especially when they're an executive. It's like seeing people jumping out of air conditioners, flying rattlesnakes with wings... you almost feel like you have to be high on meth to see any of those things. Especially even a former politician take any responsibility for anything bad happening on their watch, especially an executive. So I give President Biden credit for that. 

But the problem here is (and you can rewatch the interview with The View) it's what he's taken responsibility for. He's taking credit for doing all these things like the infrastructure, the research and development, the prescription drugs, the jobs and economic growth, etc. But the only problem was (according to President Biden) that these benefits come later before Americans can feel them and his administration (perhaps including the President) didn't do a good enough job of selling the benefits of what they were doing. 

So on 1 hand President Biden is taking responsibility for the fact that he was too unpopular to even run for reelection, but then he's sort of qualifying that concession by saying it's the voters fault for not seeing the benefits if what he and his administration were doing. But that's more than Donald Trump would give you when he screws up, or any other crooked politician. 

Had President Biden said something like: 

"Opening the border was a big mistake. We should've kept it close and kept arresting illegals to enter the country illegally. While at the same time I try to get a deal with Congress on a broader immigration package, to deal with the current illegal immigrants, who are only here to work and make a better life for themselves, but who aren't criminals. And we should've done more early on, especially in the 2021 economic package to fix the supply chain and increase economic production, before inflation could become the problem that it became in 2022." 

Had President Biden taken full responsibility for why he was so unpopular, (trying to run for reelection with a 36% job approval) along the lines I've suggested, he would've earned a new respect from me as Liberal Democrat, who voted for him in 2020, who comes from the same Scoop Jackson/JFK wing of the Democratic Party, that Joe Biden comes from, because then it would be clear that he gets it. Instead of tying to qualify anything that was bad that happened on his watch. 

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Monday, April 7, 2025

Meet The Press With Kristen Welker: Senator Adam Schiff On Kamala Harris's 2024 Campaign

"Sen Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) tells Kristen Welker on Meet the Press that Democrats’ past failure to address “structural challenges” of the economy led to the party losing the White House in 2024." 

Source:NBC News Meet The Press With Kristen Welker. On this Sunday, U.S. Senator Adam Schiff (Democrat, California) sorry, I've always wanted to do a parody of Tim Russert. 

From NBC News

KRISTEN WELKER:

I do want to ask you about the Democratic Party. There's a new book out by Chris Whipple who reports that in the days before President Biden's devastating debate performance with President Trump, his first chief of staff, Ron Klain, returned to help him prep. Klain reports that he was surprised by the fact that he thought that President Biden was struggling to focus. He said he seemed confused about President Trump's policies, and even fell asleep by the pool after cutting one debate prep session short. Do you think that former President Biden's advisors misled the American people about his capacities?

SEN. ADAM SCHIFF:

You know, it's hard for me to gauge what the closest advisors to the president were seeing at the time. I can only speak to the interactions that I had with him, which were, you know, in the months leading up to his getting out of the race, largely ceremonial occasions. But, you know, I will say this. He made the decision to get out of the race. I think that was the right decision. The vice president, as the vice president, I think ran a great campaign but could not run away from being a representative of the status quo. And, the fact is that people are hurting and have been hurting for a long time. This is a frankly decades in the making problem where people are working harder than ever and still can't get by. What Donald Trump is doing right now is making that so much worse. But we have to address it. Both parties are going to need to address this. Right now this budget that you're talking about is going to give a massive tax cut for billionaires. And they're going to take it out of middle class families. And they're going to explode the deficit and debt. That's just going to move us further in the wrong direction. So, we're going to have to grapple with some of the central challenges, structural challenges in our economy. I think the failure of Democrats to do that in the past resulted in our losing the White House. The catastrophic, you know, damage they're doing to the economy now is going to cause Trump and Republicans to lose Congress. But both parties are going to have to tackle this global challenge to our economy.

From NBC News

The New Democrat talking about whether or not President Biden should run for reelection again in 2023-24: 

"So it's either stick with Joe, or Joe drops out and we see a Democratic free for all, between left-wing Democrats who'll promise the world to everybody and tell everyone it won't cost anything. Versus center-right Democrats who will try to run a general election campaign during the Democratic primaries, but when they think they need more Democrats, while try to talk like they're actually leftists, leaving everybody to believe who is this person and why do they actually believe. Versus The Devil in Donald Trump, with American voters probably choosing The Devil that they already know, over the Democrat." 


"I talked about this back in October, when Bill Maher was basically trying to make Joe Biden look like the presidential version of deceased U.S. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, who stayed in too long and then ends up dying, when the Republican Party still had The White House and Senate back in 2020. And then the country goes to hell, etc, because Justice Ginsberg stayed in too long and was replaced by a Conservative Republican. 

And now what those bedwetters are arguing is that if President Biden runs for reelection, he'll lose to Donald Trump, even if Donald Trump is a two-time convicted felon by the time the presidential election comes around. So again we would have a MAGA White House and a MAGA Congress, with Republicans holding and adding to the House and winning back the Senate... 


"If you are wondering why The New Democrat is going with the center-right, Republican, Never-Trumper reactions to this debate, I'll tell you anyway. We''re not Republicans at The New Democrat. But we are New Democrats and we are center-right, JFK/Henry Jackson/even Joe Biden even Democrats. We know what MSNBC and company is saying. You either have far-left Democrats up there saying that Joe Biden has to step down. Or Democrats trying to argue that the debate doesn't matter. I'm not interested in that. And to their credit, even left-wing, hippie, Rachel Maddow talking about what's the best move going forward, knowing that Joe Biden will most likely still be the Democrat for President. So it's not all MSNBC arguing that it's not a disaster for the President, or he should simply drop out.

And I don't think there's much point in talking about President Biden stepping down, until he actually does that, because it would be like debating what would happen if Donald Trump suddenly plead guilty to all the felonies that he's facing. There's not much point in talking about what it would be like if this happened, if there' very little, if any possibility of it happening... 


"To put it simply: if President Biden announced let's say by April, 2023, that he promised not to run for reelection in 3-1/2 years a go to assure voters that he would pass the torch (so to speak) and because it was time "for a new generation of leadership", the Democratic Party would've had a full primary season and Vice President Kamala Harris probably wins the nomination anyway. And she would've been my preferred candidate right out of the gate. And all those townhalls, those debates, those TV interviews, that she didn't want to do this summer and to a certain extent this fall, all those things would've been taken care of during late 2023 and early 2024. 

And it's not just that President Biden broke his promise not to run for reelection. It's why he did that is even worst, his lack of reasoning for it. He made it about the economy and that he was the only person up to task of bringing down the high cost of living. When the fact is he knew damn well that his background as a public servant is not economics. He made his carer in Congress as a foreign policy and national security expert. As well as criminal justice and the Constitution. Not economic policy. 

The reason why President Biden tried to run for reelection, is the same reason why any other President who ran for reelection did that, because he wanted to be a two-term President. It's almost embarrassing for President's to not get the 2nd term. And probably feels worst when you don't bother to run. Worst than that when you own damn party doesn't want you to run for reelection... 


Just to be clear: The New Democrat doesn't blame Joe Biden 100% for why Kamala Harris lost in 2024. She made her own mistakes: 

Not doing any interviews at all for 2 months after it was clear she would be the Democratic nominee

Not doing any townhalls, even in the blue wall states that she had to have, until October of 24

Too dependent of celebrity endorsements to get her own voters out to vote for her, etc. 

But as Erik Schneider said, had President Biden simply kept his promise to to a one-term President and announced like in April of 2023, that he wasn't running for reelection, he might not have been an issue in 2024, at all. Because whoever the new Democratic nominee would be, that person would have had about a year or so to introduce themself to the country and lay out exactly what they want to do as President and not have to worry about what the President thinks of their agenda. And Vice President Harris might have won the nomination anyway. 

We'll never know this because the people around the President, who knew he was struggling mentally and had low energy, didn't have the courage, the character, to either tell the President that he shouldn't run for reelection and why, or at the least leak what they know about his physical and mental conditions, or resign and go public with what they know about him. 

You think Democratic donors would've been backing the President the way they did, financially, up until his debate, if they knew he was struggling to remember names of people he knew very well, struggling just to get through his work schedule, physically, getting stuck in-between thoughts when trying to speak? Of course not. If they knew this 2 years ago, if the public knew as well, the Democratic leadership, even, would've called for the President not to run for reelection.  

And to respond to something that Senator Schiff said: 

"You know, it's hard for me to gauge what the closest advisors to the president were seeing at the time. I can only speak to the interactions that I had with him, which were, you know, in the months leading up to his getting out of the race, largely ceremonial occasions. But, you know, I will say this. He made the decision to get out of the race. I think that was the right decision. The vice president, as the vice president, I think ran a great campaign but could not run away from being a representative of the status quo. And, the fact is that people are hurting and have been hurting for a long time. This is a frankly decades in the making problem where people are working harder than ever and still can't get by. What Donald Trump is doing right now is making that so much worse... 

You notice how he wanted to get the discussion off of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris and back to an area where he's more comfortable talking about, which almost everyone's political boogeyman, Donald J. Trump. Who is a subject that no Democrat (at least from a blue state like California) will ever had to ever worry about losing political support, when it comes to criticizing Donald J. Trump. 

If Kristen Welker was a better interviewer, she could've asked a follow up, like: 

"Senator, we're you personally seeing from President Biden, or hearing anything about the President that would suggest to you, that maybe he's not up to running for reelection again?"

A good interviewer can put their interviewee on the spot, when they think that person is trying to dodge a topic that comes with political risk to them and want to change the subject. 

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Monday, December 2, 2024

Why The Democrats Lost

Source:PBS News- this photo is not meant to be insulting. At least not on my part.

The Democratic Party is going to make a huge decision about the future of this party in February or March. Which of course will be deciding who will essentially be the leader of the party, since they're going to be out of The White House again. And that position of course will be its next Chairman of the Democratic National Committee. 

But before the Democrats do that, I think we need to look at why they're going to be out of The White House for at least the next 4 years and why they're going to be the opposition party again, as well as the minority party in Congress, and why there will even be an election to nominate it's new leader. Instead of a President Kamala Harris just appointing the new DNC Chairman, while serving as the party leader. 

I think the popular thing in American politics right after an election, is to jump right in and write your own article about what went right and what went wrong. Even do it that Wednesday morning, if not late Tuesday night (if we already know who the next President will be) and give your 2 cents (even it's not even worth a penny) about what you think went well and what went wrong about the election. But I wanted to think about it and make sure I get this right. Plus, I literally had other things to do with this blog, like setting up pages for it, which took me at least another week after the election to do, so we're ready to go completely again by December. And be ready for the return of President Donald Trump.  

So I'm going to give you a few reasons why the Democrats lost The White House in 2024. It's not all President Biden's and Vice President Harris's fault. But they're both towards the top of the list. 

Remember then citizen Joe Biden promising not to run for President in 2020: 

"Former Vice President Joe Biden’s top advisers and prominent Democrats outside the Biden campaign have recently revived a long-running debate whether Biden should publicly pledge to serve only one term, with Biden himself signaling to aides that he would serve only a single term.

While the option of making a public pledge remains available, Biden has for now settled on an alternative strategy: quietly indicating that he will almost certainly not run for a second term while declining to make a promise that he and his advisers fear could turn him into a lame duck and sap him of his political capital.

According to four people who regularly talk to Biden, all of whom asked for anonymity to discuss internal campaign matters, it is virtually inconceivable that he will run for reelection in 2024, when he would be the first octogenarian president.


“If Biden is elected,” a prominent adviser to the campaign said, “he’s going to be 82 years old in four years and he won’t be running for reelection.” 

From Politico

Even by October, 2023, it would've been too late for President Biden to drop out. But it would've been better than dropping out 6 months ago:

"Bill Maher called on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential election, saying the 80-year-old incumbent is too old to run for president and likened him to the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

The host of “Real Time with Bill Maher” mocked Biden on Friday night, describing the president as the “only democrat who can lose to Trump,” despite the men only having a four-year age difference.

“Someone has to convince President Biden that if he runs again, he’s going to turn the country back over to Trump and go… down in history as Ruth Bader Biden, the person who doesn’t know when to quit and so does great damage to their party and their country,” Maher said, referring to the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Ginsburg notoriously decided to not retire during the Obama administration when she could have been replaced with a liberal justice, only to die at the age of 87 in September 2020 during the Trump administration." 


I don't agree with comedian Bill Maher on everything. But when he's right, he's damn right. (You put that stronger) And he called it in October, 2023: 

"The issue with President Biden isn’t if he will be replaced - it's who will replace him." 


To put it simply: if President Biden announced let's say by April, 2023, that he promised not to run for reelection in 3-1/2 years a go to assure voters that he would pass the torch (so to speak) and because it was time "for a new generation of leadership", the Democratic Party would've had a full primary season and Vice President Kamala Harris probably wins the nomination anyway. And she would've been my preferred candidate right out of the gate. And all those townhalls, those debates, those TV interviews, that she didn't want to do this summer and to a certain extent this fall, all those things would've been taken care of during late 2023 and early 2024. 

And it's not just that President Biden broke his promise not to run for reelection. It's why he did that is even worst, his lack of reasoning for it. He made it about the economy and that he was the only person up to task of bringing down the high cost of living. When the fact is he knew damn well that his background as a public servant is not economics. He made his carer in Congress as a foreign policy and national security expert. As well as criminal justice and the Constitution. Not economic policy. 

The reason why President Biden tried to run for reelection, is the same reason why any other President who ran for reelection did that, because he wanted to be a two-term President. It's almost embarrassing for President's to not get the 2nd term. And probably feels worst when you don't bother to run. Worst than that when you own damn party doesn't want you to run for reelection. 

And to set the record completely straight: my colleague Fred Schneider from The New Democrat argued against what Bill Maher was back 14 months ago and this was his reasoning for it: 

"You can show me all the polls in the Democratic Party that suggest that President Biden shouldn't run for reelection and that Donald Trump might actually beat him. But for me at least to even take those polls seriously, you need someone besides a professional conspiracy theorist, whose in the same age range and generation as both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, to not only announce their own presidential campaign, but show polling that suggests that they could not just beat Joe Biden, but then beat Donald Trump next year as well." 


And I agreed with Fred at the time. We thought 14 months ago that President Biden was simply the only Democrat who could beat Donald Trump. But then the debate happened and that changed everything for everybody. And to Bill Maher's credit, he saw that President Biden was simply too weak at least politically, to beat Donald Trump 13 months before the election. 

And then we get to Kamala Harris who for the most part inherited a strong campaign, as far as the organization, the people, the infrastructure, the finances. What she gave it, was energy, enthusiasm, and the only way I can put this but political adorableness, where she's just so cute and sweet as a person, it's really hard not to like her, if not love here. Assuming you are not a neanderthal jackass, who thinks that the only job that women should have, is to stay home and make their husbands happy. 

On the downside, Vice President Harris not just starts off Election 2024 as an unpopular Vice President, with a approval rating at around 35%, but where maybe 1/2 American voters (depending on what poll you look at) don't even know who she is, what she believes. 

I was calling for on my Threads page back in July, that Kamala Harris needs to do a series of townhalls, maybe a week after figuring out exactly what kind of presidential campaign she wanted to run and do those townhalls in just the swing states in the beginning. So people, especially Independents and Republicans who didn't want to vote for Donald Trump, as well as blue-collar Democrats who were considering voting for Donald Trump based on the economy, could get a good idea of who she and what here values are. 

The Vice President doesn't do any townhalls until October. It's September with CNN anchor Dana Bash, before she does any network interviews at all. So it's not just running for President late, which wasn't her fault, but starting out real late in the gates to even do an interview, that I think set her back. And her first townhall at all was in October with Univision News and CNN. 

And far as as the Harris Campaign's strategy, it seemed to be about maxing out yuppy, white-collar, especially female, yuppy, white-collar voters, of all political backgrounds, including urban and suburban Republican women, to vote for her. And hope African-Americans fall in line, where they were even dragging with President Biden, who did so well with them in 2020. And as far as blue-collar Democrats, I guess they left that up to Governor Tim Walz. 

According to the Roper Center, Barack Obama and John McCain split middle-income voters back in 2008. And then Senator Obama won the union vote with 59% of the vote. In 2012, according to the Roper Center, then President Obama won the union vote with 58 of the vote and they split the middle-income vote. 

According to NBC News: "Biden won 56 percent of union households to Trump's 40 percent, according to NBC News exit polls, doubling Hillary Clinton's 8 percentage-point margin among the group four years ago." 

From NBC News

From Brookings: "The dominant post-election 2024 narrative is that Donald Trump’s victory over Kamala Harris was delivered largely by a multiracial working-class coalition. Backed by certain numbers, this narrative has many Democrats quaking in their 2026 campaign boots. For example, the exit polls show that working-class voters, defined as voters without a college degree, split 56% for Trump to 42% for Harris. The same polls tell us that white working-class voters favored Trump over Harris by 66% to 32%, and that Trump won a larger share of working-class Black and Latino voters than he did in 2020. 

All true, but let’s put those numbers into historical context and then, starting with the white working class, dig into what the exit poll data reveal when you run cross-tabulations by education and sex.1

As I have documented elsewhere, after winning a 56% white working-class majority in 1984 with Ronald Reagan, the GOP lost the majority in the 1990s, then got back to even with George W. Bush in 2000 (50%) and again in 2004 (51%). Mitt Romney won 56% of the white working-class vote in 2012, followed by Trump with 62% in 2016, 59% in 2020, and 66% in 2024. That two-thirds share is impressive, but many other Republican candidates have done as well or better electorally with the white working class. 

For example, in 2022, working-class whites broke 66% for Republican congressional candidates—the same percentage of those voters that Trump won in 2024. And several Republican governors who were not aligned with Trump won more than two-thirds of white working-class votes. For example, in 2022, Florida’s Ron DeSantis, who would go on to challenge Trump for the GOP presidential nomination before becoming his staunch ally, won 70% of the white working-class vote; and Ohio’s Mike DeWine, who received a congratulatory call from President Joe Biden the morning after his reelection win, received 72% of it." 

From Brookings

Left-wing, especially woke, PC oriented, militant, left-wing Democrats, are going to hate hearing this, but the fact is if you want to win a presidential election in America, you go where the votes are and get the voters who are most likely to show up and vote. The country is officially still 70% European racially and ethnically. More like 80% if you included Spanish Latinos who of at least some Spanish descent. As well as 35-40 working class of all backgrounds. 

You can't get blown out with working class European-Americans and then try to make it up with people who don't tend to vote, like white-collar yuppies, young people, and African-Americans, as well as center-right Republicans, who don't want to vote for you anyway. And then think you get these voters with the current "hot celebrities". Who might just want the attention and money anyway.African-Americans will always be a major part of the Democratic Party. But they're still 12% of the country roughly. And European and Asian-Americans still out vote them, at least on a percentage basis. 

Hopefully tomorrow, I'll have my 2nd piece ready for why I believed Democrats lost and where to go from here. But before you can rebuilt anything, (which is what the Democratic Party needs to do now) you have to first know why you have to rebuild in the first place and what went wrong.

You can follow me on Threads and Blue Sky.

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Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Michael Smerconish: Should Joe Biden Stay Or Go?

Source:Michael Smerconish talking about President Joe Biden's reelection campaign.

"A Challenge To The White House" 


"If you’d asked me a year ago, I would have told you that Joe Biden was a reasonably clear favorite in the event of a rematch against Donald Trump.

Not an overwhelming favorite, mind you. But perhaps a 65:35 favorite. The case for Biden seemed obvious enough. Incumbents win re-election more often than not — and, of course, Biden beat Trump in 2020. The economy was beginning to recover from a period of intense inflation, and the labor market was strong. Trump had to fade a number of downside risks, being subject to a series of criminal trials and what looked like it could be a competitive Republican primary. (This was before Ron DeSantis began his long and embarrassing decline in the polls). Democrats were coming off a relatively strong midterm, buoyed by voter concerns about extreme and under-qualified Republican candidates and the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.

So I don’t begrudge people who took their time to realize that Biden’s re-election would be a heavy lift. The first time my internal needle began to shift was in late summer, when Biden’s approval numbers remained poor even as the economy was improving and it was becoming more apparent that his advanced age — Biden turned 81 in November (Trump is 77) — was an enormous problem for voters and one that Democrats weren’t going to be able to spin away. Still, as of late September, I thought that (i) it had become too late for a full-fledged primary challenge to Biden, and (ii) Biden voluntarily announcing that he wouldn’t run for a second term was a close call but probably failed a cost-benefit test for Democrats.

Since then, Biden’s situation has become considerably worse. If he were 10 years younger, he might still be a 65/35 favorite. But if his campaign is substantially encumbered by his age, he's probably the underdog. If you’re someone who would rather not see Trump re-elected again or who cares about the election for other reasons, it’s time to face the facts. You need to adjust to the new reality and not be mired in anchoring bias by your previous impression of the race." 


David Axelrod on CNN's Anderson Cooper 350 last night talking about Ezra Klein's article arguing that President Biden shouldn't run for reelection: 

"Well, I think the president probably cares. I think he reads it. I'm sure it irritates him. I know I've irritated him when I've raised this issue in the past. But I'll tell you what that Monmouth poll didn't pull me because if they had pulled me, I would have said, no, I think Joe Biden is going to be the nominee of the Democratic Party.

I said last November a few things. I said, if you gave me Biden's record and took 10 years off of him, I would have no concerns about this election. But that I thought age was an issue and that screams through every poll.

But the last thing I said was, if Joe Biden wants to be the nominee of the Democratic Party, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party, because there is tremendous loyalty among a lot of the party to the president. I think there's a lot of respect for the president.

And so, I think that's where we are right now. I think only -- there's -- the idea that some delegation of party elders are going to come and visit him at the White House and persuade him to step down is a fantasy. First of all, that's not the way politics works anymore. We're not, you know, in another century.

Secondly, that belies the fact of who Joe Biden is. Joe Biden is a guy who spent his whole life kind of coming up from nowhere to proving to people, you know, that he can -- that he's going to hack it. That he has a chip on his shoulder, and he deserves to. He's accomplished a great deal.

And his attitude is always people underestimate me in there. I'm sure his attitude is they're underestimating me now. So I just, you know, I read Ezra's piece. He said a lot of things that I had said previously, but I don't think that's where we're going to end up.

Well, I think it's true. I mean, listen, Anderson, the body of work that he's done, the things that he's accomplished, the bills that he's passed on a bipartisan basis against all odds, the coalitions he's forged globally and so on, those things don't happen by accident.

He's clearly doing the job and you speak to people around him and they say that. You know, they say he's sharp in meetings and so on. He is not good in front of a camera anymore. I mean, that's pretty clear. And he has trouble with that. And that's how most Americans see him.

And worse than that, that's how social media sees him. They, you know, he can give a brilliant speech and have nine bad seconds, and that becomes a -- it's part of the mean, and that gets, you know, circulated to millions of people on TikTok, particularly younger people. And that's, you know, that has been a real problem for him.

So, yes, no, I do accept that he has governed very, very competently. And Anderson, people -- you spent some time with him for your podcast. You know, I'm sure he was very cogent when he... 

From CNN

This is from what I wrote about President Biden's reelection campaign back in October, responding to bedwetting Democrats and bedwetting commentators who are friendly to Democrats: 

"It's one thing to say that Joe Biden shouldn't run for reelection. But I didn't hear Bill Maher mention anyone who should run for President as the Democrat in the President's place. You can quote James Carville all you want, but Carville doesn't have a Democratic alternative to Trump either. 

What we learned during the Barack Obama years is that the Democratic Party is not good at developing its bench or its farm system, at least at the national level. They're not good at grooming people to take over and become the next leader of the Democratic Party, let alone the next President of the United States. And if you look at approval ratings even in the Democratic Party of Vice President Kamala Harris, someone who I do personally approve of and think she's been good for President Biden, as far as running his administration, but perhaps not politically, the Democratic Party still doesn't have any alternative to President Biden. 

So it's either stick with Joe, or Joe drops out and we see a Democratic free for all, between left-wing Democrats who'll promise the world to everybody and tell everyone it won't cost anything. Versus center-right Democrats who will try to run a general election campaign during the Democratic primaries, but when they think they need more Democrats, while try to talk like they're actually leftists, leaving everybody to believe who is this person and why do they actually believe. Versus The Devil in Donald Trump, with American voters probably choosing The Devil that they already know, over the Democrat." 


I talked about this back in October, when Bill Maher was basically trying to make Joe Biden look like the presidential version of deceased U.S. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, who stayed in too long and then ends up dying, when the Republican Party still had The White House and Senate back in 2020. And then the country goes to hell, etc, because Justice Ginsberg stayed in too long and was replaced by a Conservative Republican. 

And now what those bedwetters are arguing is that if President Biden runs for reelection, he'll lose to Donald Trump, even if Donald Trump is a two-time convicted felon by the time the presidential election comes around. So again we would have a MAGA White House and a MAGA Congress, with Republicans holding and adding to the House and winning back the Senate.

But, as time goes on, things tend to change in American politics. Back in October, it didn't look like Donald Trump might even get one trial and conviction before presidential election. The economy wasn't looking very good, with weak economic and job growth, inflation was still a problem. 

But guess what, 5 months later, Donald Trump is now looking at the possibility of bankruptcy, unless he can meet the premiums on those two New York civil judgements against him and even if he does that, he still might be looking at bankruptcy. 

Mr. Trump will now have to go trial in Manhattan in March, be looking at felony convictions, just from that case. And it looks like the Supreme Court will not just allow for the Washington case against Trump will be tried and decided before the presidential election as well, but his immunity could be tossed by Chief Justice John Roberts and that case gets sent back to Judge Tanya Chutkan in Washington. And the economy moving really well right now, with both strong economic and job growth, rising wages, and even inflation is coming down now. 

I think David Axelrod nailed it last night when he said: 

"And his attitude is always people underestimate me in there. I'm sure his attitude is they're underestimating me now. So I just, you know, I read Ezra's piece. He said a lot of things that I had said previously, but I don't think that's where we're going to end up.

Well, I think it's true. I mean, listen, Anderson, the body of work that he's done, the things that he's accomplished, the bills that he's passed on a bipartisan basis against all odds, the coalitions he's forged globally and so on, those things don't happen by accident.

He's clearly doing the job and you speak to people around him and they say that. You know, they say he's sharp in meetings and so on. He is not good in front of a camera anymore. I mean, that's pretty clear. And he has trouble with that. And that's how most Americans see him.

And worse than that, that's how social media sees him. They, you know, he can give a brilliant speech and have nine bad seconds, and that becomes a -- it's part of the mean, and that gets, you know, circulated to millions of people on TikTok, particularly younger people. And that's, you know, that has been a real problem for him.

So, yes, no, I do accept that he has governed very, very competently. And Anderson, people -- you spent some time with him for your podcast. You know, I'm sure he was very cogent when he... 

Let's face the facts: in a perfect world, at least from a Democratic perspective, we wouldn't have an 81 year old Democratic President of the United States right now. In that world, that President would be in his mid to late 50s right now, with the same economy that President Biden has, but perhaps without a trillion-dollar deficit and 3% inflation. So of course the President has some real reelection challenges that are mostly about his age and how people view his competency. But those problems are easily correctable. 

The way President Biden deals with the weaknesses of his reelection campaign, is to take Nate Silver's advice. Do a series of national TV news interviews and not with just the friendly Democratic news sources like MSNBC. But talk to the network news divisions, including FOX News, someone like a Shannon Breem or even Brett Baier wold give President Biden a fair interview and let the President speak and answer the questions. 

President Biden should also talk to CBS News, ABC News, NBC News, the PBS NewsHour, CNN, or if The CW Network wants to have a prime time special with President Biden, do that as well. 

And then the President should also do some swing state townhalls, where he's talking to mostly Independent voters, as well as blue-collar Democrats and African-American Democrats, who aren't in love with either Joe Biden and Donald Trump and looking for an alternative instead.

To paraphrase David Axelrod, Joe Biden is no longer a good political campaigner in the sense that he can do one campaign event after another and look good in front of the camera, without making any serious mistakes. But he's good with live interviews and he's still very good at the townhalls and talking to people one-on-one.

If President Biden solves the age and competency issues, his approval rating gets up to around 50% or better. He doesn't do that, it will remain in the high 30's. But considering who his likely opponent is in the fall, that might be good enough to get the President reelected anyway. 

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Monday, October 2, 2023

Real Time With Bill Maher: 'New Rule: Ruth Bader Biden'

Source:Real Time With Bill Maher- saying that Joe Biden is now Ruth Bader Ginsberg.

"Someone has to convince President Biden that if he runs again, he’s going to turn the country back over to Trump and go down in history as Ruth Bader Biden." 


Imagine if we lived in a perfect world and while you are at that, also imagine that you have your own personal time machine, that you didn't even have to order online, or even pay for a shipping charge, let alone have to pay for the time machine itself. Wait, you now you live in a perfect world, so you no longer need a time machine. But if you live in a perfect world, everything that Bill Maher said about it's time for Joe Biden to go, might not only make sense, be believable, but he might even be correct. But Bill Maher would be one of the first people (at least on Planet Earth) to tell you that we don't live in a perfect world. 

You can show me all the polls in the Democratic Party that suggest that President Biden shouldn't run for reelection and that Donald Trump might actually beat him. But for me at least to even take those polls seriously, you need someone besides a professional conspiracy theorist, whose in the same age range and generation as both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, to not only announce their own presidential campaign, but show polling that suggests that they could not just beat Joe Biden, but then beat Donald Trump next year as well. 

Some might say that well no one else besides Robert F. Kennedy JR. (who struggles just to put words together, let alone sentences) has announced their own campaign against President Biden, someone who struggles just to get on the state ballots, in Democratic states, of all places, let alone struggles to get 15% of the vote against Joe Biden, because they don't want to divide the Democratic Party. Well if that's the case, then why are they talking about Joe Biden needs to step down, so some other Democrat can step up. Joe Biden is still around 90% in the Democratic Party and in the low 40s nationally, as well has a coalition of Republican voters who once again would vote for him against Donald Trump. 

You can't think that all the new legal cases, the indictments, all the financial trouble that Donald Trump is facing, is helping him with Independents, a group that he lost overwhelmingly to Joe Biden in 2020. As Max Boot said on CNN last week (and I'm paraphrasing) the choice is not between the perfect and imperfect. The choice here is between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. The choice is between a good, honest, man, who believes in the United States, believes in liberal democracy, believes in the rule of law, and our checks and balances, versus someone who doesn't believe in those liberal democratic, America values, whose running for President simply to get himself out of legal jeopardy and clear is allies that are also in legal jeopardy as well, who wants to operate and live about the law. 

It's one thing to say that Joe Biden shouldn't run for reelection. But I didn't hear Bill Maher mention anyone who should run for President as the Democrat in the President's place. You can quote James Carville all you want, but Carville doesn't have a Democratic alternative to Trump either. 

What we learned during the Barack Obama years is that the Democratic Party is not good at developing its bench or its farm system, at least at the national level. They're not good at grooming people to take over and become the next leader of the Democratic Party, let alone the next President of the United States. And if you look at approval ratings even in the Democratic Party of Vice President Kamala Harris, someone who I do personally approve of and think she's been good for President Biden, as far as running his administration, but perhaps not politically, the Democratic Party still doesn't have any alternative to President Biden. 

So it's either stick with Joe, or Joe drops out and we see a Democratic free for all, between left-wing Democrats who'll promise the world to everybody and tell everyone it won't cost anything. Versus center-right Democrats who will try to run a general election campaign during the Democratic primaries, but when they think they need more Democrats, while try to talk like they're actually leftists, leaving everybody to believe who is this person and why do they actually believe. Versus The Devil in Donald Trump, with American voters probably choosing The Devil that they already know, over the Democrat. 

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John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat

John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat
Source: U.S. Senator John F. Kennedy in 1960